MY SPECIAL MESSAGES (WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 21 2020 10:48 PM EDT)
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See birdseye view post #156 below for more on the following:
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For Hurricane Epsilon:
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The track of the hurricane has shifted westward close enough to Bermuda for the large outer circulation to bring gusty winds with some damage and power outage potential to the island by tomorrow and Friday. Coastal sea swells are also expected.
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Newfoundland will likely see coastal sea swells this weekend as the Epsilon transitions to a powerful non-tropical cyclone located not far offshore.
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For the broad area of low pressure in the western Caribbean Sea:
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The northwestern center of this system is located over the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico, but is not brining heavy rainfall as the heaviest weather is sheared off to the east by upper westerly flow.
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The southern center of this system is now forecast to potentially strengthen while moving northward into the Cayman Islands, Cuba, the western Bahamas, and south Florida. Formation of a significant tropical cyclone is unlikely as this center remains broad and may not consolidate enough to develop significantly, and a burst of strong upper-level winds to arrive from a shortwave upper trough in a few days may disrupt the organization of this system as well. However thunderstorms containing heavy rainfall is likely to continue for the Cayman Islands and Cuba, potentially spreading into south Florida and the western Bahamas in the coming days.
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BIRDSEYE VIEW POSTS
Since 2012 on the Weather Underground (www.wunderground.com) blogs, I have been posting annotated "birdseye view" charts of the Atlantic basin, with a detailed explanation and forecasting that references the chart. From there you may know me as "NCHurricane2009." While I now do these "birdseye view" posts here, I will continue to do comments via Disqus on Weather Underground at www.wunderground.com/cat6. You can see my Disqus feed at this link for my latest comments. Feel free to reply to me with your disqus account or e-mail at
