MY SPECIAL MESSAGES (WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 29 2025 11:30 PM EDT)​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

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• I previously expanded my pause on daily updates to the Atlantic tropics on this site as the hurricane season became unseasonably calm for mid-September. Tropical activity has remained elevated since late September, and as of today their continue to be concerns for impact to the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada from Hurricane Mellissa going forward as follows:​​​​

  • A frontal low generated in the western Atlantic by the divergence zone ahead of the previous southeastern US upper trough helped turn Melissa north-northeast into Jamaica yesterday (Tuesday). Melissa was able to reach remarkably high intensity for its Jamaica landfall (185 mph max sustained winds, 892 mb surface pressure) due to low wind shear and while tapping into rather warm waters that were not disturbed by other systems earlier this hurricane season. The landfall intensity tied with the 1935 Florida Keys Labor Day Hurricane as the strongest Atlantic basin hurricane landfall on record. 

  • Upper divergence ahead of another upper trough diving southeast from central Canada has generated another frontal low over the southern US which is keeping Melissa moving north-northeastward after it crossed Jamaica. Land interaction has weakened Melissa however it delivered still strong category 2 to 3 hurricane impacts across eastern Cuba and southeast half of the Bahamas over the last 24 hours, weather conditions have improved for Cuba and will improve in the Bahamas overnight as Melissa pulls away. 

  • The remains of the aforementioned southeastern US upper trough and southeast-diving upper trough from Canada will combine to maintain the southern/ eastern US frontal low and hence Melissa should remain on a north-northeast heading for the remainder of its lifecycle. As such potentially damaging hurricane-force conditions are expected for Bermuda tomorrow (Thursday) night, and Atlantic Canada is expected to see a prolonged period of gusty winds and coastal surf this weekend as what remains of Melissa's circulation merges with the frontal low from the southern/ eastern US

  • Will soon be returning to daily updates on the Atlantic tropics on this site upon release of a special update package reviewing Atlantic tropical activity over the last several days, which will include forecasts on currently active systems at the time of its release. In the meantime refer to the National Hurricane Center (hurricanes.gov) for up to the minute latest information on Hurricane Melissa

• ​​​​As the author of infohurricanes.com, I have also been monitoring the progress of the worldwide progress of the COVID-19 virus. The COVID-19 page has not been updated over the last several months. The COVID-19 page will be updated with a final report on how the virus progressed over last few years.