MY SPECIAL MESSAGES (TUESDAY OCTOBER 7 2025 11:55 AM EDT)​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

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• I previously expanded my pause on daily updates to the Atlantic tropics on this site as the hurricane season became unseasonably calm for mid-September. However tropical activity has ramped up since late September, and their are ongoing threats to land areas in the Atlantic basin as follows:​

  • The twin tropical cyclones (Humberto and Imelda) that were in the western Atlantic basin were absorbed into an open-ocean surface front/ upper trough a few days ago, ending their impact to land areas. However the tail end of the front has been maintained as a surface trough from the Yucatan peninsula to Florida and surrounding waters by upper divergence ahead of a piece of another upper trough that followed behind. The surface trough has been mentioned on and off in the National Hurricane Center tropical weather outlook over the last days, the latest concern is possible tropical cyclone formation affecting southern Mexico (Yucatan or Bay of Campeche region) as the surface trough meanders while awaiting to be pulled toward another disturbance that may develop near the southeastern US coast. 

  • While the southwest half of the aforementioned upper trough is producing the Yucatan-to-Florida surface trough, the northeast half has gone on to become a developing deep-layer cyclone nearing the Azores from the northwest. The deep-layer cyclone may bring periods of heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and surf to the Azores while becoming a possible subtropical cyclone.

  • The southwest half of the upper trough and surface front currently traversing central North America is forecast to become a cut-off deep-layer cyclone near the southeastern United States in the days ahead, the deep-layer cyclone may bring periods of heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and surf to the Azores while becoming a possible subtropical cyclone.

  • An open ocean tropical wave of low pressure has become Tropical Storm Jerry, interests in the northern Lesser Antilles may receive impacts late this week, interests in Bermuda should be aware of possible impacts this weekend.

  • Will soon be returning to daily updates on the Atlantic tropics on this site upon release of a special update package reviewing Atlantic tropical activity over the last several days, which will include forecasts on currently active systems at the time of its release. In the meantime refer to the National Hurricane Center (hurricanes.gov) for up to the minute latest information on the currently active systems. 

• ​​​​As the author of infohurricanes.com, I have also been monitoring the progress of the worldwide progress of the COVID-19 virus. The COVID-19 page has not been updated over the last several months. The COVID-19 page will be updated with a final report on how the virus progressed over last few years.