top of page


  • See the latest birdseye view post published below for more information regarding the following and on tropical activity elsewhere in the Atlantic basin.

  • Ophelia's remnant frontal low has drifted southward into the waters offshore of North Carolina. The pressure gradient between ex-Ophelia and strong surface ridge protruding from eastern Canada is still driving winds blowing toward shore, resulting in coastal surf for New Jersey, Delaware, southeast Maryland, southeast Virginia, and North Carolina. This area of coastal surf will likely persist through this weekend as a northwestern Atlantic frontal low that potentially acquires subtropical characteristics materializes offshore, with Bermuda also experiencing coastal surf from this feature.

  • The remnant frontal cyclone of Nigel was centered southwest of Iceland, however it has recently become absorbed by the northern of a pair of frontal lows that developed to the south of ex-Nigel where upper divergence has been stronger:

    • The pair of frontal lows south of Iceland and current frontal cyclone over the British Isles are continuing to bring coastal surf to the shores of southeast Greenland, Iceland, and the British Isles.

    • Gusty winds are also occurring across British Isles and Iceland.

    • Impacts from these features will no longer be mentioned on these bulletins as the weather conditions are now associated with systems that are not of tropical origin, refer to your local news media and government weather offices for more information on impacts from these weather systems.

  • The tropical wave of low pressure that has been approaching the Yucatan region of Mexico and Belize has made landfall without development due to wind shear, notable impacts from this tropical wave are no longer anticipated.

  • Tropical Storm Philippe's latest forecast track projections have now shifted into the northeastern Caribbean Islands. However Philippe is currently forecast to pass over the islands as a weak circulation due to a suppressive upper wind outlook, therefore the probability of significant rainfall, gusty winds, and coastal surf remains low. However interests here should monitor the latest forecasts for Philippe in case the upper wind outlook later changes.

  • As the author of, I have also been monitoring the progress of the worldwide outbreak of the COVID-19 virus. The COVID-19 page has not been updated over the several months. The COVID-19 page will be updated soon to review how the virus has progressed in 2021 and 2022, in the meantime it is important to keep up with the latest vaccinations and boosters to suppress the spread and severity of the virus.


Since 2012 on the now retired Weather Underground blogs, I have been posting annotated "birdseye view" charts of the Atlantic basin, with a detailed explanation and forecasting that references the chart. From there you may know me as "NCHurricane2009." While I now do these "birdseye view" posts here, I will continue to do comments at Yale Climate Connections via Disqus where the former Weather Underground community has moved to. Feel free to reply to me there, at my Disqus feed at this link, or via e-mail at 

bottom of page