MY 2019 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON BIRDSEYE VIEW POST #151A (Special Update)
*******Note that forecasts and outlooks in this post are NOT the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). They are my own detailed views on the Atlantic tropics based on current observations and latest computer model runs. As such do not make decisions based on my posts...consult news media...watches and warnings from your local weather office...and any evacuation orders issued by local governments to make the most informed and best decisions. Visit the NHC website hurricanes.gov (hurricanes dot gov) for the latest watches/warnings and official forecasts on active tropical cyclones.**********
...WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 9 2019 9:42 PM EDT...
The surface tropical low pressure offshore of the eastern US continues moving northeastward toward the intensifying frontal cyclone located offshore of the New England coast. Recent ASCAT passes as shown in the example above suggest the tropical low still has a closed circulation separate from the frontal cyclone...with maximum sustained winds of 25 to 30 knots (30 to 35 mph). This evening a notable thunderstorm burst has developed over and near the surface circulation center...so it is quiet possible this system is close to or reached tropical depression status. However the National Hurricane Center in their 8 PM EDT tropical weather outlook suggested that they will not be upgrading this system to a tropical cyclone as it will soon lose its identity while moving closer to the non-tropical frontal cyclone. It maybe possible that in the National Hurricane Center post-season analysis that this system maybe re-classified as an unnumbered or unnamed tropical cyclone based on its satellite appearance it had for part of yesterday and tonight.
******Infohurricanes.com outlook. Visit hurricanes.gov (hurricanes dot gov) for official outlook***********
IOH 18 Hr Outlook (1800Z Oct 9)...0% chance of tropical cyclone formation (absorbed by frontal cyclone while located near 37.5N-65W)