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Since 2012 on the now retired Weather Underground blogs, I have been posting annotated "birdseye view" charts of the Atlantic basin, with a detailed explanation and forecasting that references the chart. From there you may know me as "NCHurricane2009." While I now do these "birdseye view" posts here, I will continue to do comments at Yale Climate Connections via Disqus where the former Weather Underground community has moved to. Feel free to reply to me there, at my Disqus feed at this link, or via e-mail at 

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*******Note that forecasts and outlooks in this post are NOT the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). They are my own detailed views on the Atlantic tropics based on current observations and latest computer model runs. As such do not make decisions based on my posts...consult news and warnings from your local weather office...and any evacuation orders issued by local governments to make the most informed and best decisions. Visit the NHC website (hurricanes dot gov) for the latest watches/warnings and official forecasts on active tropical cyclones.**********

...MONDAY NOVEMBER 2 2020 7:40 PM EDT...

Satellite image of Hurricane Eta as of 0000Z:

On colorized infrared satellite...the core of Hurricane Eta continues to improve with an increasingly clear pinhole eye with stronger thunderstorms around the eye that are also becoming more symmetrically distributed. Based on satellite intensity estimates...the NHC has raised the hurricane to high end category 4 status as of 7 PM EDT with 150 mph maximum sustained winds. Aircraft reconnaissance is en route to measure the hurricane and may find Eta at category 5 status. The track of the hurricane has bent southwestward...therefore the most catastrophic wind and coastal storm surge damage to occur near the center will be over northeastern Nicaragua instead of the eastern Nicaragua/Honduras border region...and the damage will be catastrophic regardless of category 4 or 5 status. Interests in eastern Honduras and northeast Nicaragua should be hunkering down for tropical storm and hurricane force conditions to arrive in the next hours.

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