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Since 2012 on the now retired Weather Underground blogs, I have been posting annotated "birdseye view" charts of the Atlantic basin, with a detailed explanation and forecasting that references the chart. From there you may know me as "NCHurricane2009." While I now do these "birdseye view" posts here, I will continue to do comments at Yale Climate Connections via Disqus where the former Weather Underground community has moved to. Feel free to reply to me there, at my Disqus feed at this link, or via e-mail at 

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*******Note that forecasts and outlooks in this post are NOT the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). They are my own detailed views on the Atlantic tropics based on current observations and latest computer model runs. As such do not make decisions based on my posts...consult news and warnings from your local weather office...and any evacuation orders issued by local governments to make the most informed and best decisions. Visit the NHC website (hurricanes dot gov) for the latest watches/warnings and official forecasts on active tropical cyclones.**********

...MONDAY OCTOBER 5 2020 4:40 PM EDT...

Satellite image of Tropical Storm Delta as of 2010Z:

Tropical Storm Delta intensifies quickly to the southwest of Jamaica....the following is a special update to increase my intensity forecast as outlined below. The analysis in post #140 and home page bulletins on this site concerning Delta remain in effect.

****** forecast. Visit (hurricanes dot gov) for official forecast***********

0 Hr Position (1800Z Oct 5)...60 mph maximum sustained wind tropical storm centered just southwest of Jamaica at 16.1N-79.2W

IOH 24 Hr Forecast (1800Z Oct 6)...80 mph maximum sustained hurricane centered just south of Grand Cayman Island at 18.8N-82W

IOH 48 Hr Forecast (1800Z Oct 7)...110 mph maximum sustained hurricane centered just northwest of the western tip of Cuba at 22.5N-85.5W

IOH 72 Hr Forecast (1800Z Oct 8)...140 mph maximum sustained wind major hurricane centered over the central Gulf of Mexico at 25.5N-90W

IOH 96 Hr Forecast (1800Z Oct 9)...100 mph maximum sustained wind hurricane centered over southeastern Louisiana at 30N-89.8W

IOH 120 Hr Forecacst (1800Z Oct 10)...Remnant frontal low pressure centered over northwestern Alabama at 33.8N-87.5W

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