Since 2012 on the Weather Underground ( blogs, I have been posting annotated "birdseye view" charts of the Atlantic basin, with a detailed explanation and forecasting that references the chart. From there you may know me as "NCHurricane2009." While I now do these "birdseye view" posts here, I will continue to do comments via Disqus on Weather Underground at You can see my Disqus feed at this link for my latest comments. Feel free to reply to me with your disqus account or e-mail at 

  • NCHurricane2009


*******Note that forecasts and outlooks in this post are NOT the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). They are my own detailed views on the Atlantic tropics based on current observations and latest computer model runs. As such do not make decisions based on my posts...consult news and warnings from your local weather office...and any evacuation orders issued by local governments to make the most informed and best decisions. Visit the NHC website (hurricanes dot gov) for the latest watches/warnings and official forecasts on active tropical cyclones.**********

...THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 3 2020 12:12 AM EDT...

As of 11 PM EDT aircraft reconnaissance has found Tropical Storm Nana has become a minimal hurricane with 75 mph maximum sustained winds while the center is approaching Belize. Although in full update #110 I had speculated in my intensity forecast that the window for Nana to become a hurricane was closing...I am not increasing the intensity forecast as Nana is currently in between two points from that forecast...with the next point being inland where I expect Nana will still rapidly weaken due to land interaction. In addition I am making no changes to the impact statements on the home page bulletins of this site as those statements incorporated the possibility of hurricane force winds reaching Belize...and Nana is not a higher end category 1 hurricane that would take longer to weaken after landfall and spread winds further inland. Preparations in Belize should have been completed by now as weather conditions will continue to worsen tonight.

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