• See latest birdseye view post below for more on the following:

  • A slowly-organizing large tropical low pressure area is expected to develop over Honduras, Nicaragua, Guatemala, Belize, and southeastern Mexico over the next few days. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation or not in the adjacent western Caribbean and Bay of Campeche waters of the Atlantic basin, this persistent pattern could result in heavy rains with flash flooding potential over these areas. A risk of sea swells, rip currents, and gusty winds for parts of the south-facing Pacific coasts of southeastern Mexico, Guatemala, and Honduras may occur between 24 and 72 hours from an eastern Pacific tropical cyclone likely to form in this weather pattern, visit for up to the minute latest information on eastern Pacific tropical activity (information on this site is largely focused on Atlantic-side tropical activity). 

  • In addition, also monitoring a widespread area of showers and thunderstorms in the open Atlantic located well southeast of Bermuda, which is being generated by an upper trough that has recently amplified into a closed upper level vortex, for possible subtropical cyclone formation by Saturday. Details on this included in the latest birdseye view post below.

  • As the author of, I have also been monitoring the progress of the worldwide outbreak of the COVID-19 virus. As tropical activity begins to ramp up in the Atlantic and hurricane season approaches, I will be moving information about COVID-19 to a specific webpage instead of in the blog space below.


Since 2012 on the Weather Underground ( blogs, I have been posting annotated "birdseye view" charts of the Atlantic basin, with a detailed explanation and forecasting that references the chart. From there you may know me as "NCHurricane2009." While I now do these "birdseye view" posts here, I will continue to do comments via Disqus on Weather Underground at You can see my Disqus feed at this link for my latest comments. Feel free to reply to me with your disqus account or e-mail at 


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